Saturday, October 24, 2009

WEEK 7 MATCHUPS

So... I’ve been away...

I'm a new dad now and my focus has been everywhere. But now I’m back with a vengeance, so let's get it started!

I have been holding out on these predicts as I was waiting on some possible trades to go through, but since everyone seems content to mention who they want to trade, then disappear for 3 days, I am FORCED to continue without them. Also, one change in the way I was doing these, I will try to cover transactions, but roster changes are too difficult to follow.

So without any more delay...


Braylon Edwards Scissor Hands vs. Snoho Slowmoes
Facebook Proj: 88 - 131.40

This match up pits QB's Donovan McNabb against Slowmoes Jay Cutler. I have little faith in McNabb this week as I don't know which one will show up, the one from 2 weeks ago who threw for 264 yards and 3 TD's or the McNabb from last week threw for only 269 yards and 0 TD's against Oakland. Those 2 teams have a passing defense ranked at 16 and 20 respectively and this week the Eagles are against a Washington pass defense that is ranked 6th in the league. On the other side, you have Cutler, who is having a great season, going up against Cincinnati who is ranked 29th against the pass. Scissor Hands is screwed here

The saving grace in this match up? Scissor Hands has Jonny Knox who has been Cutlers favorite target. It makes me question why Facebook projects him (along with Braylan Edwards) at 0.00? He is ranked in the top 20 for total points earned this season for Facebook, and that is with already having a bye week. After 6 games of the season, minus his bye week, he is averaging 15.6 points.

I feel the RB, TE and K and DEF positions all even out, but the WR spot, like every other week, is really a wildcard in this match up. I really like Slowmoes Steve Smith, but not this week. Carolina will be looking to run all over BUF #32 ranked run defense after throwing up 267 rushing yards against the #31 rush defense in Tampa Bay last week. Steve Smith only had 1 reception for 4 yards in that game.

That said, it is hard to pick against those receivers on his lineup, so I agree with Facebook that Slowmoe gets the win, but I doubt it will be by the 42.6 point spread they predict.


Moldy Cheeseheads vs. JimmyZ's Destroyers
Facebook Proj: 131.82 - 144.38

Last week, Tom Brady was a B-E-A-S-T!!! He scored 59.70 points and a HUGE FIRST victory for Moldy. Not to belittle the 47.06 that Brees threw up, but expect Brady to continue his streak this week with a weakened run game and the loss of I think 18 different RB's in the last 6 weeks.

I really like Moldy's tandem of RB's in Michael Turner and Ryan Grant who has a great running match up in Cleveland. The Cardinals running game is pathetic and Facebooks projected rating of almost 19 for Hightower is preposterous. JimmyZ's saving grace is Cedric Benson. I expect him to be the standout RB this week in the match up.

Both teams have a strong 2 out of 3 in their WR lineup. Donald Driver will have a strong showing against Cleveland and Breaston will be a strong performer for Arizona with Boldin out (or playing injured). But matched up against JimmyZ's Steve Smith of NY and Randy Moss, I think the WR battle will go to Jimmy.

I disagree with Facebook in this match up. JimmyZ's WR's won't be able to make up entirely for what he is lacking in the match ups at RB and QB. I know I say it every week, but Moldy... I expect you to win for a second week in a row. Good Luck!


Bozo's vs. Bacon Bits
Facebook Proj: 103.5 - 118.48

Any other week I'd say Matt Ryan has a chance to compete, but this week, his opponent is playing against a Cleveland Defense that just lost its top tackler and captain D'Qwell Jackson. That and the fact that the Browns have close to 10 players out with the swine flu and players are coming up to play from the practice squad. So Aaron Rogers throwing to Greg Jennings and Bacon Bits having both on his roster spells large numbers for Bozo's opponent.

So what does Bozo have to keep him in the game? Well... Adrian Peterson. He can make up as many points as most any 2 players. I feel his 2nd RB might hold him back though. I know Bozo is a Cardinals fan and sticking with Bennie Wells on the tied for last place rushing offense is the type of move only a fan would do. Arizona is only averaging 57 rushing yards per game. In my opinion, if you have a backup, I’d put him in.

Bozo has a decent WR lineup, but compared to Bacon's trio, all of which I consider to be VERY strong (Vincent Jackson, Greg Jennings and Hakeem Nicks), I don't thing Bozo has a chance this week. The TE match ups are equal with Jason Whitten facing off against Brent Celek. I'll give Bozo an 8 point spread in the Defense given that his SD Def are playing KC and Bacon's Giants are taking on the Cards. Facebook gives Bacon an advantage there 5-6, but I expect it to go way the other direction.

That said, I agree with Facebook who has it called for Bacon, but I think the spread they've given to Bacon of +15 is under projected. I am figuring closer to a +25. Sorry Bozo...


Yeshuwah vs. Team Burnt Toast
Facebook Proj: 139.64 - 114.96

Team Burnt Toast is sitting at 2-3, but you can't blame the team. He played 4 players last week on their bye week making for an easy victory for Bozo. It looks like he might be back this week, but we will see. He has showed interest trading some players, but then disappeared again for the last few days. We will see what happens

This week, Yeshuwah has a 25 point advantage, but that seems a little high. But, Big Ben, who threw for over 400 yards last week against the Browns, is projected at 32 points this week. The Vikings pass defense is ranked 1 point lower than Cleveland’s at #26. Eli is throwing against the Cardinals #22 ranked pass defense. This match up could really go either way.

Toast had LT on the bench, who was out much of the week with an illness, but returned to practice on Friday. Expect him to play, and play very well against a horrible Kansas City. In my opinion Toast... pull the Cadillac and put in LT.

Toasts WR lineup might be the best in the league with Wes Welker, Reggie Wayne and Santonio Holmes. The first of those 2 are playing the 0-6 Bucs and the 0-6 Rams.

I think Facebook is WAYYYY off. Yeshuwah will be praying for ice come Monday to reduce the swelling from the ass whoopin' toast can lay down this weekend. Ouch!


Trambo Will Triumph vs. Heidis Head Hunters
Facebook Proj: 130.64 - 116.38

First off I have a message for Heidi: Change your Facebook password... quick. Bacon has had his eye on Fitz for weeks. Can he really be trusted?!?!

This is a match up of shoulder shrugs and I have no ideas. Matt Forte. Underperformed all season. Frank Gore. Will he run like he did at the beginning of the season? Fitzgerald. If Boldin is out, will he be extra covered and will Breaston be the fav target again? Trambo's Boldin... will he even play? And if he doesn't, his backup Jerricho Cotchery is out for the week. I might be trying to trade for a quick WR today if I was you.

Now, I really like Trambo's Ronnie Brown. He is ranked #5 this week in the ESPN fantasy rankings for week 7. The wildcat formation seems to only work for Miami, and it works very well for both them, and Brown. Brown has had 3 great weeks so for of 27, 29 and 30. I also like Trambo's TE Dallas Clark.

But, don't count Heidi out! This game will be decided Monday night as she has BOTH Kurt Warner and Larry Fitz! They have combined for more than 60 points each of the last 2 weeks.

This match up really comes down to whether Bolding plays or not. Trambo better keep his fingers crossed. Myself, I'm not hopeful. I think Facebook is backwards on the weeks projections. Flip 'em and I will agree. Heidi gets my vote!


CMECRUSHU vs. White Devil White Devil
Facebook Proj: 108.08 - 118.74

Well, I can't see how this prediction will matter as CRUSH is missing a TE, which I am sure he will put in before game time, and White Devil White Devil, AKA I don't remember last weeks name or the week before, is sure to change his whole lineup after watching ESPN Sunday morning, reading the papers sports page, calling 16 FOX Sports interns, reading 42 fantasy football blogs and the rest of my predictions above. The only thing I can predict is that before tomorrow, he will find out by pigeon courier that some star RB or WR will be out with the plague and that his backup is expected to get 100% of the carries/receptions. Lucky...

But, I can't not finish my predictions, so here it is, based on what I have...

Which is the more unbalance match up? Phillip Rivers throwing against sometimes bad and sometimes horrible Kansas City, or Peyton Manning throwing against the always bad, 0-6 Rams. Rivers has scored 37 fantasy points @ Baltimore in week 2 and 33 @ Pittsburg in week 4. Manning has had 2 fantasy point games over 45! This is not looking good for CRUSH even with his dominating QB.

CRUSH's D'Angelo Williams is the #1 ranked RB by ESPN for this weeks match ups against the #32 ranked run defense in BUF. But, White Devil's Maroney is way under ranked with his projection of 7.68. Since every other RB on that squad is injured, Maroney finally gets back to his starting role and I am expecting numbers close to his 06 and 07 years. I am expecting close to 100 yards and at least 1 TD. With LT shaking the flu and coming back to practice on Friday, White Devil has chosen wisely to sit the backup sproles and put in NY's Bradshaw. The Cards might have the leagues best run defense, but I don't think it will hold up this weekend against the Giants power running duo. Expect them combined to throw up 180 yards. Sorry Boze...

The top WR's on White Devil's are better than what CRUCH is bringing. Ocho-Cinco, while being a distraction (ref. Fridays fine of 10k for wearing a wrong color chin strap), has been putting up great numbers. Devil also has Brees' favorite target in Colston.

This match up wraps up on Monday night with CRUSH's star WR DeSean Jackson helping him come from behind to beat White Devil, but a last second field goal from kicker David Akers gets White Devil the win! White Devil over CRUSH by .6!!!


And that is it for Week 7! Man it feels good to be back. Enjoy and good luck everyone!